Trends

Here’s a real-world graph, representing honest information about a current situation.

And here’s the fun part:

  • What would you expect value #5 to be?
  • What about #6 or #7 or #8?
  • At what point will the value pass 100?

The real-world answers and probability in another week or two, I think.

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This work by Walt Crawford is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

This entry was posted on Friday, April 27th, 2012 at 12:43 pm and is filed under Stuff. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

4 Responses to “Trends”

  1. Michael Golrick says:
    April 30, 2012 at 8:33 am

    With out the actual data points, here are my guesses:

    #5 = approximately 48
    #6 = approximately 52
    #7 = approximately 56
    #8 = approximately 60

    It may hit 100 by about 16 or so…..

    Hope you tell us more.

  2. waltcrawford says:
    May 1, 2012 at 6:44 am

    Those are perfectly reasonable estimates…based on one key assumption. More later.

  3. waltcrawford says:
    May 4, 2012 at 1:14 pm

    I am telling you more…but not a lot more.At least not yet.

    Go to this post

  4. waltcrawford says:
    May 29, 2012 at 9:15 am

    I never did provide the answer here, did I? In spite of the many guesses and speculations…

    Simple enough: It’s the number of pages in each 2012 issue of Cites & Insights.